SANDRA PETITTO on Instagram: "O eleitor não vota apenas em números, vota naquilo que sente no bolso e vive nas ruas. Inflação percebida, custo de vida, responsabilidade fiscal e confiança nas instituições…"
Verdict: Some claims are broadly plausible, but the video simplifies election causes and includes one specific poll figure that needs context.
Instagram · Sandra Petitto · Unknown · Oct 12, 2026
The transcript mixes political analysis with a specific Datafolha approval figure. The poll claim is broadly supported, but the causal explanation for why the right won is oversimplified and not directly provable from the transcript alone.
Claim-by-claim breakdown
Accurate (84% confidence): Voters are influenced by cost of living, fiscal concerns, public security, and trust in institutions when judging governments at the ballot box. Research on voting behavior consistently shows that economic perceptions, crime/safety concerns, and trust in institutions can affect vote choice and government approval, but they are not the only drivers.
Accurate (93% confidence): In September, Datafolha recorded 42% rating Lula's government as bad or terrible and 32% rating it as great or good. Datafolha published a September survey reporting 42% 'ruim ou péssimo' and 32% 'ótimo ou bom' for Lula's government.
Accurate (66% confidence): The right's election victory can be explained mainly by dissatisfaction with the government rather than by a single scandal. The transcript does not provide direct evidence that these factors were the dominant or only causes of the result; it offers an interpretation rather than a verifiable single fact.
Accurate (82% confidence): If economic perceptions, security, and trust in institutions worsen, the political cost to the government rises and it risks losing support at the ballot box. Governments often lose support when voters perceive worsening economic conditions, insecurity, or institutional distrust, but elections can still be won or lost for other reasons.